Last week, the overall trend of basic metal prices was first suppressed, and the US consumer confidence cooled moderately in early April. Spain acknowledged that there may be a second round of recession in 2009, which aggravated the global economic recovery and the general price of basic metals fell. After the successful completion of the Spanish bond sales, the good economic data in Germany, the decline in the number of US initial jobless claims and the increase in the total number of building permits in March, the base metals rebounded following the recovery of global risk appetite. On the whole, the global macro data will pick up in the future, and the European debt worry will gradually ease. It is expected that the rhythm of liquidity release will accelerate, and the basic metal is expected to show a slight rebound.
Gold-falling risk is not big The gold price is in a volatile and volatile pattern last week. Spain's 10-year government bond auction yields have risen compared with the previous ones. The market's concerns about its credit increase and the euro's pressure are the main reasons for the heavy pressure on the gold price. However, with the capital increase of IFM and the successful completion of the Spanish government bond, the confidence of the market against the euro was boosted and the dollar was under pressure. The gold price has rebounded weakly since then. The market is concerned about Bernanke's press conference next week, hoping to find more clues about QE3. We believe that due to the recent poor economic data and repeated US economic data, QE3's expectations will be re-ignited. The Fed's resolution is likely to support gold, and the risk of falling gold prices is not large.
Small metals and ferroalloys - the decline in demand for titanium prices Last week, the
price of rare earth oxides continued to rise, and the prices of raw materials such as tungsten concentrates, antimony concentrates and titanium concentrates fell. In particular, the price of titanium concentrate and titanium sponge fell by a large margin. Affected by dry weather, titanium concentrate producers are limited in electricity consumption, production is also affected, and the terminal demand is not high due to poor titanium dioxide market, downstream procurement is not active, due to the difficulty in improving the downstream market in the short term, it is expected that domestic The mine's recent market continues to be weak.
Non-ferrous metal plate - rare earth permanent magnet plate continues to be optimistic this week, non-ferrous metals in various sectors rose and fell, the overall sector rose by 0.7%, weaker than the market. The base metals rose better, and the new materials and magnetic materials sectors were adjusted back this week. According to the performance of the listed company's quarterly report and the semi-annual report issued by the company this week, the performance of the tin, lead, zinc, copper and aluminum industries in the second quarter is still not satisfactory, and according to our judgment, Zhongke Sanhuan and Ningbo Rhyme The second-quarter results of Shengsheng Rare Earth Permanent Magnets continued to grow sharply year-on-year, continuing to support the company's upward trend.
The investment recommendation of listed companies is based on the judgment of the trend of non-ferrous metal plate operation. Our investment strategy will return from systematic configuration to partial and staged configuration ideas. Industry configuration angle: Recommended rare earth and electronic aluminum foil. Other key recommendations: Liyuan Aluminum, Tongling Nonferrous, Oriental Zirconium.
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