“People tend to expect too much from a new technology, and they always expect too much from its prospects.†3D printing has risen in China for only three or four years, and this is claimed to lead the “fourth industrial revolutionâ€. New technologies have spread from abroad to the country, from traditional industries to capital markets, and there has been a burst of carnival in the plastics industry .
Some plastics product owners have been overjoyed by this: Is it possible to achieve the upgrade and transformation marked by intelligence through 3D printing? The answer is: the prospect of plastic 3D printing is very full, but the reality is very skinny.
Plastic 3D printing is very full of reality but very skinny?
Can plastic 3D printing technology really be ignored? Yixing’s plastic bosses should not give up on 3D printing technology until they have really seen this trend.
The 3D printing technology in the modern sense was born in the United States in the mid-1980s. It has been developed abroad for more than 20 years, but it is about five years in China. When a technology is first introduced, what people often see is just its "magic". As early as the concept of 3D printing was just launched, the entire plastic circle boiled. Why?
First of all, in the traditional production environment, plastic products are not a process that everyone can afford, and some small batch products would rather give up. 3D printing offers an inexpensive way to try, making it easier for designers to get the courage to use plastic. Moreover, from design to craft, there is a huge gap, the designer's original works are very dazzling, but the mold stage needs to accommodate the cost and processing difficulty. 3D printing makes it relatively easy for designers to ignore this gap and achieve most of the effects they want.
In addition, the use of plastics in the field of 3D printing is getting closer and closer. SmarTech, a world-renowned consulting firm, recently announced the "Application of Plastics in the 3D Printing Market for the Next 10 Years" to evaluate newer plastic materials including polycarbonate, polystyrene, TPU, PET, PBA, and polyethylene. Alcohols, polyoxymethylenes and alternative bioplastics, transparent materials, flexible materials, and nano-reinforced plastics. The report points out that plastics will be the most important 3D printing raw material in the future.
Speaking of 3D printing, today's plastic ring boss probably only "oh", a pair of "know, but not much with me" look. Indeed, when this concept was first introduced, people were rushing to the top, but they quickly discovered the problem: the domestic 3D printing market not only started late, the overall industrial production mode was extensive, the volume was small, and the mature business model was lacking. And facing the shortage of consumables and high cost, it is difficult to achieve the dilemma of mass production.
For a simple example, if you use 3D to print a 100g plastic product, the raw material cost is about 6 yuan, and the technical cost (mainly electricity consumption) is about 6 yuan, the total cost is 12 yuan; Method, the total cost adds up to about 6.6 yuan, so the cost gap, so many plastics companies can only be discouraged. In fact, industry insiders say that the highest cost gap may even reach 50-100 times.
In fact, 3D printing was very cold in the plastic ring. Guo Taiming once bombarded the media: "3D printing technology cannot be mass-produced for commercial use and has no commercial value. 3D printing can make calls, but only Can be seen, can not be used, therefore, 3D printed products can not be added electronic components, can not become mass production of electronic products."
The prospect of plastic 3D printing is not as good as expected, but it is not so bad!
"In the next three to five years, domestic 3D printing will come to the window, the potential market demand is huge, and the 3D printing industry has broad application prospects. In 2016, the global printing market will reach 10 billion US dollars, and the market scale will achieve exponential growth." There are quite a few situation analysis, but the prospect of plastic ring looking at 3D printing is still insufficient. After several years of hot speculation, there are not many domestic 3D printing companies. In the short term, it is still difficult for the 3D printing industry to truly realize the complete industrial chain from design to mass production, but it is not just a game of local tyrants.
In fact, 3D printing cannot be said to be an impact on the traditional plastics industry, but more like a trend of “complementing each other and achieving symbiosis and win-winâ€. It cannot be completely negated because of the shortcomings of new things. After all, 3D printing technology is good at solving individualized, complicated and difficult production techniques, which is exactly what traditional manufacturing dreams of.
Nowadays, 3D printing technology may only reduce the design cost, but in the foreseeable future, plastic 3D printing and traditional manufacturing may appear in the same product enterprise, and people can freely switch between different ways to produce different plastic products. Before that, plastics companies must act from now on to solve two major problems: one is to constantly innovate 3D printing technology; the other is to reduce printing costs.
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