Aluminum trading is still the main tone of the current market. This week's aluminum shows a trend of shrinking consolidation, and the position has continued to decline. At the beginning of the month, aluminum reported at 15,920 yuan/ton in the first day of trading. The day's high rushed to 15,950 yuan per ton. After the rise, the price rose weakly and finished lower. The future trading days were mainly based on gradual declines, and the market reached a low of 15,660 yuan. Tonne, then withdrew from the low point under the support of buying, this week closed at 15,700 yuan. The lack of financial support in the market made the trading on the disk very quiet. Since electrolytic aluminum has always been a high-energy-consuming industry, electricity consumption in 2003 accounted for approximately 4.4% of the country's total electricity generation. While the production of 1 ton of electrolytic aluminum consumes an average of about 15,000 kWh of electricity, the increase in the price of electricity that accounts for 40% of the cost of electrolytic aluminum will directly increase the cost pressure of electrolytic aluminum companies. At present, most of the aluminum plant electricity prices are around 0.30 yuan, but more than 0.35 yuan will make the company survive a crisis. At the same time, the 14 key electrolytic aluminum companies that originally implemented the preferential tariff policy had resumed the collection of rural network loan repayment funds or electricity prices earlier this year. This adjustment was less appropriate than other enterprises. Therefore, the adjustment of the current round of electricity prices has a limited impact on large enterprises as a whole. It is expected that these companies can benefit from it. The electrolytic aluminum listed companies with resource advantages, scale advantages, cost advantages, and technological advantages will obtain better development opportunities. This is in line with the original intention of the government's frequent policies to combat duplication and low-level construction, and it is also to provide conditions for the sound development of the electrolytic aluminum industry in the future. At present, the domestic production of variables is electrolytic aluminum self-roasting tank production process equipment, self-roasting tank is China's electrolytic aluminum production characteristics of pollutants - the main emission of fluoride, aluminum electrolytic industry is the main problem of environmental pollution. According to the statistics at the end of 2003, there are still 1,308,800 tons of self-roasting tanks in the country. The state requires that this part of the production capacity be closed down at the end of 2004. Lanzhou Aluminum has 42,000 tons of self-baked tank capacity will be eliminated in 2004, may lead to the company's capacity in 2004 has decreased, but the company's additional project of 150,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum project is expected to be completed in 2005. Jiaozuo Wanfang has announced that it will shut down two electrolytic aluminum production lines with a capacity of 47,000 tons before June 20, and adjust its production plan in 2004 to adjust aluminum output from 244,000 tons to 220,000 tons. As a result, electrolytic aluminum production capacity has been controlled to a certain extent, and through adjustment and promotion of the survival of the fittest, some powerful group companies in the electrolytic aluminum industry are now proceeding with mergers and acquisitions and restructuring and optimizing the allocation of resources. This is also one of the goals of the country’s macroeconomic regulation and control. The inevitable choice for the development of China's electrolytic aluminum industry. After a series of policies were introduced, the domestic electrolytic aluminum industry experienced deep adjustments. The previous trading range of yuan was due to the continuous decline of alumina, which caused the price center to lean downwards, and the upward pressure of 16,000 yuan was increased. The domestic high inventory is still the main factor for aluminum prices difficult to recover upwards. Alumina recently stayed at about 4,000 yuan, and received strong support from Yulun Aluminum. As a result, the spread between the two cities has narrowed, and there has been room for profit for domestic processing companies. The consumption of alumina is gradually recovering. In addition, domestic electrolytic aluminum companies expect to abolish the 8 percent preferential tax rebate for export of aluminum ingot in August, and will accelerate the export process on the basis of profitable space between May and August. After the inventory pressure is eased, and the electrolytic aluminum industry's mergers, acquisitions, reorganizations, and optimized allocation of resources are completed, the domestic electrolytic aluminum industry will usher in yet another round of development. With the approach of the summer off-season, inventory pressure will continue to affect the aluminum market in the next 2-3 months, but the market has digested the short-term energy brought by high inventory in the recent operation, so the downside is limited, and the trading range is still The main tone of the current market. (Li Ling)
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