In 2011, there is little room for sufficient domestic potassium fertilizer supply to rise.

Near the Spring Festival, domestic potassium chloride devices have been parked and the market volume has decreased. Recently, the contract with foreign potash distributors has been continuously signed. The southern port has continuous arrival of potassium chloride, and the volume is adequate. The distributors and compound fertilizer manufacturers After leaving the city one after another, the degree of market attention was reduced, and the procurement was basically arranged after the holiday. The actual market turnover was scarce and the operation would be stable in the near future.

China Chemical Network analyst Zhang Ming believes that: in 2011, the domestic supply of potash fertilizer is sufficient. Under the premise of frequent occurrence of extreme weather, there is little increase in market demand and there is limited room for price increase. The main basis is: First, although the total output of domestic potassium in 2010 was only 3,969,600 tons, the 4 million tons of social inventories that had passed since 2009 were also digested by 70% to 80% in 2010, and at the same time, the import of chlorinated in 2010. The physical quantity of potassium reached 5,250,900 tons. Before the Spring Festival, there are still about 1.5 million tons of raw materials in major ports. Secondly, new potash import agreements were signed in 2011 and Jordan Potash Corp. APC will supply to China between 2011 and 2013. 1.8 million tons of potash fertilizer, once in half a year, Canadian Canpotex has signed an agreement with Sinochem Fertilizer China to supply 600,000 tons of potash fertilizer in the first half of 2011. Belarusian BPC will supply 1 million tons of potash fertilizer to China in 2011, with a CIF 400 USD/ton, rebate $20. 3. Before the Spring Festival, major agricultural provinces such as Shandong suffered a particularly severe drought in 100 years and are expected to continue after the Spring Festival. The freezing weather in the South will ease after the Spring Festival, but it is bound to have an adverse impact on fertilizer demand in the spring of 2011. In Qinghai and Xinjiang, no large-scale rain and flood disasters will occur, and domestic potassium fertilizers will be better guaranteed.

In a comprehensive view, there is no possibility of insufficient supply of potash fertilizer in China in 2011. The only factor that can bring positive benefits to the market is rising grain prices, which is reversed through various links. This can be shared by reaching the potash fertilizer. A cup will not be too impressive.