Although the annual operating data of China's machine tool industry has not been announced in 2010, the industry's total industrial output value exceeded 500 billion yuan for the first time, which is a foregone conclusion, and the year-on-year growth rate has also made the Association experts stunned: more than 40%! They are expected to be 10% to 15% at the beginning of the year.
Wu Bolin, executive vice president of China Machine Tool Industry Association, said: "It has been unexpected in the past year that the machine tool industry can achieve such results, but we are fortunate that we also know that the industry faces many challenges in the post-crisis era."
The second half of the year, the second half of the blowout slowed down
According to the statistics of the Marketing Department of the Association, as of the end of October 2010, the machine tool industry has completed a total industrial output value of 437.6 billion yuan, achieving sales income of 425.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41%. It is estimated that the total industrial output value will be 530 billion yuan in 2010, with a growth rate of between 33% and 35%. In the first ten months of 2010, the export value of machine tools exported by the whole industry was 5.6 billion US dollars, up 48% year-on-year; the value of imported machine tools was 12.3 billion US dollars, up 56% year-on-year.
Wu Bolin believes that the so-called spurt growth in the first five months of 2010 is the main reason for the unexpected increase in annual growth. In addition, the industry has done a lot of work in scientific and technological innovation, product development, structural adjustment, service level improvement, and personnel training, and has also achieved remarkable results. The work in 2010 laid a solid foundation for the machine tool industry to meet the post-crisis era and to meet a more proactive change. This is the result of the joint efforts of the whole industry and the result of implementing the national response to the financial crisis package policy.
In the face of the financial crisis, the machine tool industry has been driven by the “market squeezing†mechanism and the implementation of “major special projectsâ€. All enterprises have accelerated the pace of research and development of new products, and their innovation capabilities have improved. The achievements have not been easy. Only the Chinese machine tool industry can achieve such a large growth in the post-crisis era.
At the same time, he also pointed out that after entering the second half of the year, new orders began to show signs of decline, especially the decline in heavy-duty machine tools, and the demand structure has also changed.
What should be seen about the downward trend in growth rate? Wu Berlin believes that it is a normal phenomenon and a rational return. Because of the "blowout" phenomenon that occurred in the first half of the year, there were two special reasons: First, the concentration of demand energy accumulated by the market shrinkage since the financial crisis was "released"; the second was the pulling of the country's 4 trillion investment projects. Otherwise, how can it appear that high-end and low-end, or large and medium-sized machine tools are almost in short supply? Of course, it is undeniable that the rapid growth that has occurred since the beginning of 2010 is also inseparable from the fact that enterprises in the industry have begun to attach importance to adjusting the structure, improving their innovation capabilities and laying a certain foundation for several years.
Structural contradictions are more prominent
Wu Bolin pointed out that the phenomenon of production and sales "blowout" in the first half of the year cannot be blindly optimistic, and an in-depth structural analysis is necessary. Based on the challenges of dealing with the post-crisis period, there are still many deep problems to be solved.
The first is that the product structure needs to be optimized. In the first eight months of 2010, the entire industry produced 650,000 machine tools, but the average sales price per unit decreased year-on-year. From the data point of view, the output growth rate is greater than 60%, exceeding the ratio of output value to sales growth. This shows that the price of a single machine tool on the market has dropped. As we all know, the sales price of single-unit sales in the whole industry has increased year by year for six consecutive years, indicating that the industry product structure is optimized year by year. However, in the first eight months of this year, the average price of a single machine fell. It shows that in the case of both production and sales, except for the sales price of some products, the proportion of high-end machine tools is decreasing. The proportion of low-end machines is increasing.
From the point of view of corporate profitability, according to incomplete statistics, the increase in the profit level of the whole industry in 2010 was nearly twice the increase in output value. This situation does not exclude the positive effect of the company on the increase in profitability due to the increase in business scale and the strengthening of management, and the adoption of cost reduction measures. But at the same time, it is not difficult to see that, from the overall perspective of the whole industry, low-end products make more money than high-end products. This is a question worth pondering. It shows that China's machine tool industry has not yet developed a development model of extensional growth. This problem is not solved, and the development of the industry is not sustainable. Therefore, the product structure of the industry needs to be optimized, and the adjustment of the product structure of the industry has a long way to go.
Secondly, the problem of industrial structure: the contradiction between the "short board" of numerical control systems and functional components has become increasingly prominent. CNC systems, functional components, have long been a "short board" that restricts the development of the CNC machine tool industry. Why is the profitability of high-end CNC machine tools low? One of the main reasons is that CNC systems and functional components rely on imports. In the market, the more high-end products are more constrained, the delivery time and service can not meet the requirements, structural contradictions are very prominent.
Wu Bolin told reporters that the "short board" problem of CNC systems and functional components has been highly concerned. The leaders of the relevant departments of the State Council recently pointed out that solving the problems of CNC systems and functional components is not a simple fill-in problem, but It is a strategic issue that is related to the overall situation. This is enough to illustrate the importance and urgency of the issue.
Finally, the future market competition will become increasingly fierce. From the two aspects of import and export: First, imports have increased or decreased. Second, although exports have increased, but through the analysis of the structure of export products, there are not many machine tools. Among them, there are few high-end products, and the proportion of mid-range products is not high. Most of them are low-end products such as ordinary machine tools and economical CNC machine tools. It can be seen that the structure of export products needs to be optimized.
After the signing of the ECFA agreement, Taiwan's machine tool products, especially some small and medium-sized products and functional components, will occupy a larger market. At the same time, in the case of the European and American markets are not booming, more and more well-known foreign companies focus their market strategy on China. Not long ago, the American Manufacturing Association submitted a proposal to the government that “the United States has returned to manufacturing†and has been approved. Recently, the Japanese government issued a decree that no longer allows high-tech companies such as CNC machine tools and numerical control systems to be sold to overseas companies. Some shares have been sold for repurchase. Moreover, the government will subsidize Japanese companies to acquire high-tech companies such as influential CNC machine tools from Europe and the United States.
These circumstances show that after the financial crisis broke out, the United States was learning to abandon the manufacturing industry and tried to revive the manufacturing industry. Japan not only increased its protection of its CNC machine tool industry, but also seized the opportunity to prepare for the acquisition of European and American companies. Initiatives to further enhance the dominant position of the domestic CNC machine tool industry.
We should be aware that competition in the international market, especially in the Chinese market, will intensify in the coming period. Therefore, the most fundamental way to deal with new challenges is to accelerate structural adjustment and accelerate the improvement of innovation capabilities.
Wu Bolin, executive vice president of China Machine Tool Industry Association, said: "It has been unexpected in the past year that the machine tool industry can achieve such results, but we are fortunate that we also know that the industry faces many challenges in the post-crisis era."
The second half of the year, the second half of the blowout slowed down
According to the statistics of the Marketing Department of the Association, as of the end of October 2010, the machine tool industry has completed a total industrial output value of 437.6 billion yuan, achieving sales income of 425.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41%. It is estimated that the total industrial output value will be 530 billion yuan in 2010, with a growth rate of between 33% and 35%. In the first ten months of 2010, the export value of machine tools exported by the whole industry was 5.6 billion US dollars, up 48% year-on-year; the value of imported machine tools was 12.3 billion US dollars, up 56% year-on-year.
Wu Bolin believes that the so-called spurt growth in the first five months of 2010 is the main reason for the unexpected increase in annual growth. In addition, the industry has done a lot of work in scientific and technological innovation, product development, structural adjustment, service level improvement, and personnel training, and has also achieved remarkable results. The work in 2010 laid a solid foundation for the machine tool industry to meet the post-crisis era and to meet a more proactive change. This is the result of the joint efforts of the whole industry and the result of implementing the national response to the financial crisis package policy.
In the face of the financial crisis, the machine tool industry has been driven by the “market squeezing†mechanism and the implementation of “major special projectsâ€. All enterprises have accelerated the pace of research and development of new products, and their innovation capabilities have improved. The achievements have not been easy. Only the Chinese machine tool industry can achieve such a large growth in the post-crisis era.
At the same time, he also pointed out that after entering the second half of the year, new orders began to show signs of decline, especially the decline in heavy-duty machine tools, and the demand structure has also changed.
What should be seen about the downward trend in growth rate? Wu Berlin believes that it is a normal phenomenon and a rational return. Because of the "blowout" phenomenon that occurred in the first half of the year, there were two special reasons: First, the concentration of demand energy accumulated by the market shrinkage since the financial crisis was "released"; the second was the pulling of the country's 4 trillion investment projects. Otherwise, how can it appear that high-end and low-end, or large and medium-sized machine tools are almost in short supply? Of course, it is undeniable that the rapid growth that has occurred since the beginning of 2010 is also inseparable from the fact that enterprises in the industry have begun to attach importance to adjusting the structure, improving their innovation capabilities and laying a certain foundation for several years.
Structural contradictions are more prominent
Wu Bolin pointed out that the phenomenon of production and sales "blowout" in the first half of the year cannot be blindly optimistic, and an in-depth structural analysis is necessary. Based on the challenges of dealing with the post-crisis period, there are still many deep problems to be solved.
The first is that the product structure needs to be optimized. In the first eight months of 2010, the entire industry produced 650,000 machine tools, but the average sales price per unit decreased year-on-year. From the data point of view, the output growth rate is greater than 60%, exceeding the ratio of output value to sales growth. This shows that the price of a single machine tool on the market has dropped. As we all know, the sales price of single-unit sales in the whole industry has increased year by year for six consecutive years, indicating that the industry product structure is optimized year by year. However, in the first eight months of this year, the average price of a single machine fell. It shows that in the case of both production and sales, except for the sales price of some products, the proportion of high-end machine tools is decreasing. The proportion of low-end machines is increasing.
From the point of view of corporate profitability, according to incomplete statistics, the increase in the profit level of the whole industry in 2010 was nearly twice the increase in output value. This situation does not exclude the positive effect of the company on the increase in profitability due to the increase in business scale and the strengthening of management, and the adoption of cost reduction measures. But at the same time, it is not difficult to see that, from the overall perspective of the whole industry, low-end products make more money than high-end products. This is a question worth pondering. It shows that China's machine tool industry has not yet developed a development model of extensional growth. This problem is not solved, and the development of the industry is not sustainable. Therefore, the product structure of the industry needs to be optimized, and the adjustment of the product structure of the industry has a long way to go.
Secondly, the problem of industrial structure: the contradiction between the "short board" of numerical control systems and functional components has become increasingly prominent. CNC systems, functional components, have long been a "short board" that restricts the development of the CNC machine tool industry. Why is the profitability of high-end CNC machine tools low? One of the main reasons is that CNC systems and functional components rely on imports. In the market, the more high-end products are more constrained, the delivery time and service can not meet the requirements, structural contradictions are very prominent.
Wu Bolin told reporters that the "short board" problem of CNC systems and functional components has been highly concerned. The leaders of the relevant departments of the State Council recently pointed out that solving the problems of CNC systems and functional components is not a simple fill-in problem, but It is a strategic issue that is related to the overall situation. This is enough to illustrate the importance and urgency of the issue.
Finally, the future market competition will become increasingly fierce. From the two aspects of import and export: First, imports have increased or decreased. Second, although exports have increased, but through the analysis of the structure of export products, there are not many machine tools. Among them, there are few high-end products, and the proportion of mid-range products is not high. Most of them are low-end products such as ordinary machine tools and economical CNC machine tools. It can be seen that the structure of export products needs to be optimized.
After the signing of the ECFA agreement, Taiwan's machine tool products, especially some small and medium-sized products and functional components, will occupy a larger market. At the same time, in the case of the European and American markets are not booming, more and more well-known foreign companies focus their market strategy on China. Not long ago, the American Manufacturing Association submitted a proposal to the government that “the United States has returned to manufacturing†and has been approved. Recently, the Japanese government issued a decree that no longer allows high-tech companies such as CNC machine tools and numerical control systems to be sold to overseas companies. Some shares have been sold for repurchase. Moreover, the government will subsidize Japanese companies to acquire high-tech companies such as influential CNC machine tools from Europe and the United States.
These circumstances show that after the financial crisis broke out, the United States was learning to abandon the manufacturing industry and tried to revive the manufacturing industry. Japan not only increased its protection of its CNC machine tool industry, but also seized the opportunity to prepare for the acquisition of European and American companies. Initiatives to further enhance the dominant position of the domestic CNC machine tool industry.
We should be aware that competition in the international market, especially in the Chinese market, will intensify in the coming period. Therefore, the most fundamental way to deal with new challenges is to accelerate structural adjustment and accelerate the improvement of innovation capabilities.
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